Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 10.097585 11.555925 13.107411 14.876166 16.831901 18.923394 21.324262
2025-02-16 7.506957 9.416424 11.594334 14.243396 17.358559 20.885312 25.158687
2025-02-23 5.648363 7.739272 10.286380 13.574001 17.657846 22.515109 28.675757
2025-03-02 4.397759 6.558316 9.358610 13.174850 18.152601 24.332770 32.482381
2025-03-09 3.572370 5.769517 8.785340 13.101519 18.978532 26.550113 36.868769
2025-03-16 2.886532 5.044714 8.177160 12.873620 19.528937 28.397422 40.846125
2025-03-23 2.568881 4.801762 8.197967 13.487821 21.228805 31.823252 47.042155
2025-03-30 2.194849 4.400892 7.921801 13.620820 22.230378 34.325155 52.091146
2025-04-06 1.765185 3.826199 7.293313 13.140845 22.275411 35.459479 55.272989
2025-04-13 1.401336 3.294163 6.654363 12.559627 22.092838 36.217493 57.913973
2025-04-20 1.269762 3.172591 6.687787 13.052825 23.572841 39.450734 64.216462
2025-04-27 1.233571 3.233540 7.044231 14.103997 25.981865 44.159851 72.838353
2025-05-04 1.135207 3.155058 7.149904 14.755063 27.821599 48.145608 80.636797
2025-05-11 0.976788 2.914788 6.922763 14.801509 28.672217 50.653846 86.330666
2025-05-18 0.806816 2.609059 6.525852 14.499426 28.910168 52.206211 90.625074
2025-05-25 0.673867 2.360095 6.206286 14.302491 29.301298 54.001936 95.343735
2025-06-01 0.581326 2.191834 6.030226 14.354916 30.116777 56.497600 101.220495
2025-06-08 0.487004 1.992590 5.756582 14.184914 30.514688 58.313056 106.070520
2025-06-15 0.459776 1.984247 5.914270 14.894182 32.545403 62.911458 115.511175
2025-06-22 0.404361 1.873478 5.816408 15.064874 33.583471 65.872172 122.388757
2025-06-29 0.323570 1.652440 5.417355 14.559320 33.312373 66.582994 125.605054
2025-07-06 0.252175 1.434707 4.987258 13.936397 32.764050 66.773884 127.945940
2025-07-13 0.234776 1.416071 5.076932 14.477492 34.514803 71.045197 137.214670